Golf course analytics

Your course will outlive every member. Nobody has ever measured it.

Most golf analytics measures players. FogBow measures the golf course.

Independent measurement of how a golf course actually plays, from the club's own scoring records — rating accuracy, competition fairness, maintenance, setup and capital projects. FogBow sells no equipment and has no stake in what the numbers say.

Green committees and boards weighing a capital project.

Directors of golf and head professionals who set the course up and run the competitions.

General managers and owners accountable for the club's largest asset.

Superintendents who would rather have their agronomy measured than argued about.

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The questions this answers

How does our course compare?Placed against championship venues on a measured scale, with stated criteria — not on a panel's opinion.
Should we spend the money, and on which holes?A measured baseline before a renovation — and the same measurement after, to show what the money bought. The baseline cannot be reconstructed once the work begins.
Are we managing the course consistently, year to year?The architecture does not change between seasons. Once weather is accounted for, what moves is turf, green speed and setup — measured against your own course last year, not against a neighbour's.
Is our course rated correctly?Members say it plays harder than the card. Thirty thousand posted scores can settle it.
Which holes actually defend par?As against the ones that only look hard from the tee.
Is the competition fair across the whole field?Whether your allowances land where the committee intends them to.

What a club receives

A written report

Findings first, then the exhibits behind them, the method in plain language, and an honest account of what the data will and won't support. Short enough that a committee reads it, complete enough that a doubter can check it.

Nine optional modules

Handicap integrity, competition fairness, maintenance impact, course setup, tee fit, pin sheets, season monitoring, renovation effect, pace of play.

A tier, held privately

Your course placed on a four-tier scale of measured difficulty, against championship venues. Yours alone — FogBow publishes no league table and never will.

Evidence, not opinion

Every method is checked first against data whose answer is known in advance, so a finding is shown to be recoverable and not merely produced.

A stroke index that holds up

Allocation derived hole by hole from your own scoring, separately for each tee set, under the WHS Appendix E rules — with an annotated card showing where it differs from the one printed today, and why.

A baseline you keep

The measured starting point, in a form that can be re-run. Next season, after a change to the maintenance programme, or either side of a renovation — the comparison exists only because the first measurement was made properly.


What it costs

Published, and final. There is one price, it is the same for every club, and there is nothing to negotiate. A club should be able to work out what this costs before picking up the phone.

Single course$4,500
Multiple courses$6,500
Individual modules$1,200 – $2,500
Full engagement — everything, 50% off list$10,750

2026 fee schedule. Multi-year agreements lock current-year pricing. Nothing costs more than everything.


Who does the work

Junaid Mohiuddin originated the analysis FogBow is built on, and developed the framework it applies.

Golf has always judged how hard a course plays by winning score or raw scoring average. Both confuse the architecture with the weather, the setup, and who happened to be in the field that week. Across two published papers he replaced them with Adjusted Field Scoring Average — a measure anchored to the quality of the field that produced it — and then tested a four-tier classification of venues by formal inference rather than by expert opinion.

Those papers ask how difficulty differs between and across championship venues. The same framework turns inward just as well. Run on one course over successive seasons, it measures how that course has changed from year to year — and across seasons the architecture does not move. Once weather is accounted for, as it is in the papers, what remains is what the club actually controls: turf management, green speeds, rough, setup. That is a true baseline, and it is what most clubs have never had.

Three decades of professional experience gathering, analysing and reporting on results, across a range of settings. A Six Sigma Black Belt — a formal qualification in exactly one thing, establishing whether a number means what it appears to mean. Specialised coursework in computer science and statistics at Northwestern under Shelby Haberman; graduate work at Stanford's School of Engineering under Sam Savage.

33championships analysed, 2010–2026 — every U.S. Open and every Open
19championship venues, with U.S. Open records reaching back to 1947
65championship days matched to reanalysis wind and rainfall
4independent datasets per paper, across four populations of golfer

The statistical methods are long established. Applying them to golf courses this way is not, and every step is built to be checked rather than believed. The framework has since been tested against championships played after the models were fixed: at the 2026 Open, the field's scoring average came within 0.07 strokes of a forecast made in advance.


Writing

FogBow LLC · a California limited liability company
PO Box 59, 99 Pinehurst Rd., Canyon, CA 94516 · info@fogbow.llc

Course Calibration Report™, Course Difficulty Report™ and Difficulty Gradient™ are trademarks of FogBow LLC.

FogBow LLC is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by the USGA, The R&A, or any Allied Golf Association.